baku, azerbaijan · statistics + fiscal analysis

Nihad Aslanzade

Statistician and data analyst, working on fiscal analysis and risk assessment.

I build statistical and econometric models in Python and R, and I have shipped production software with Next.js, FastAPI and PostgreSQL. MSc in Statistical Methods and Applications from Sapienza University of Rome. Based in Baku, Azerbaijan.

nihad@baku ~ % whoami
Statistician · Data Analyst
nihad@baku ~ % cat stack.txt
Python · R · SQL
Econometrics · Bayesian Inference · MCMC
PostgreSQL · Docker · RAG
nihad@baku ~ %
01 / Ask AI

Ask Me Anything

Grounded in my background - projects, stack, and the statistics behind MyMCMC.

ask-nihad.sh
nihad-ai $ Ask me about my projects, my stack, or the statistics behind MyMCMC.
$
hey!
02 / About

About

Nihad Aslanzade

I hold an MSc in Statistical Methods and Applications from Sapienza University of Rome (90/110), with a thesis on adaptive MCMC algorithms, a BBA in Economics from the Academy of Public Administration under the President of the Republic of Azerbaijan (95.8/100), and I'm a SABAH.academy alumnus. That background sits underneath everything I build.

I work as an Adviser in the Fiscal Risk Assessment and Strategic Analysis Sector of the State Enterprises Monitoring Agency under the Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Azerbaijan. Before that I built production systems as a full-stack engineer, with Next.js and TypeScript on the product side and Python, R and SQL on the data side. Most of my tools still live in the terminal.

Adviser, Fiscal Risk AssessmentMSc Statistical Methods and Applications, SapienzaBaku, Azerbaijan
03 / Career

Experience

10/2026 - present

Adviser - Fiscal Risk Assessment and Strategic Analysis Sector

State Enterprises Monitoring Agency under the Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Azerbaijan

Civil servant in the Fiscal Analysis and Monitoring Department.

04/2026 - 09/2026

System Architect & Full-Stack Engineer

EduBrink · contract

Owned the core architecture of the student recruitment platform, end to end.

02/2026 - 04/2026

Full-Stack & DevOps Engineer

Ismayilli Vocational State Center · contract

Built the center's digital management system and its IT infrastructure.

11/2025 - 07/2026

Software Architect & AI Engineer

Toppick.io

Built the data architecture for a B2B hiring platform, integrating AI- and NLP-based analysis models.

03/2025 - 02/2026

Lead Software Engineer & Product Analyst

Kranni

Product analytics and data science for a real-time artisan booking app.

05/2023 - 07/2023

Sales Analyst

Sulax

Sales performance analysis.

02/2023 - 05/2023

Economic Analyst (Intern)

Cabinet of Ministers of the Republic of Azerbaijan

Economic analysis internship.

04 / Projects

Projects

EduBrink

Student recruitment platform connecting prospective students with international universities.

Next.jsTypeScriptPostgreSQLSEO
Toppick.io

AI-powered B2B hiring platform. Its pricing model is based on active job vacancies and the total number of applicants processed.

Next.jsTypeScriptPythonPostgreSQL
Ismayilli VET

Digital management system and IT infrastructure for a vocational education institute.

Full-StackDockerPostgreSQL
Kranni

Cross-platform app connecting clients with local artisans in real time, with live geolocation matching.

FlutterDjangoDockerPostgreSQL
05 / Research

MyMCMC - adaptive algorithms, benchmarked

My master's thesis research: a from-scratch R implementation of the classical and adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms, benchmarked against real Bayesian posteriors from posteriordb rather than synthetic targets - three algorithms, seven posteriors, four chains of 100,000 iterations each.

9,887
median ESS - Adaptive Metropolis
0
unconverged models, AM & RAM
2.400
worst R-hat, non-adaptive baseline
AlgorithmMean ESSWorst R-hatUnconvergedMean error (ref SDs)
AM9,8871.00500.022
RAM9,0861.00500.023
RWM baseline4,2382.40020.131
ESS against posterior conditioning
Effective sample size against posterior correlation conditioning.
Acceptance rate stability
Acceptance rate stability across models - RAM holds its target, AM does not.
Estimation error vs dimension
Estimation error measured in reference posterior standard deviations.
View source on GitHub →
06 / Notes

Notes

Working notes on the engineering behind statistical systems: what the architecture had to look like, what broke first, and what the numbers said afterwards.

07 / Stack

Stack

Five domains, twenty-four tools, mapped across a sphere.

R
Git
TypeScript
SQL
HTML
Bash
Next.js
React
Django
Flutter
PostgreSQL
Docker
Nginx
Excel (Power Query)
Power BI
MCMC
Bayesian Inference
Econometrics
Machine Learning
LLMs
RAG
CLI-first
tmux
Python
08 / Education

Education

MSc, Statistical Methods and Applications

Sapienza University of Rome

Thesis: Exploration of Adaptive Algorithms

90 / 110

BBA, Economics

Academy of Public Administration under the President of the Republic of Azerbaijan

Thesis: Tax Evasion, Tax Audit and Analysis

95.8 / 100

SABAH.academy

Alumnus

80 / 100
09 / Achievements

Certificates and awards

All certificates (14) →

A selection of the coursework and programmes completed outside the degrees. Each certificate is the original document, and the ones whose issuer publishes a verification page link straight to it.

August 2026

Google Data Analytics Professional Certificate

Google · Coursera

9 courses · spreadsheets, SQL, Tableau, Python

July 2026

Data Analytics Job Simulation

Quantium · Forage

Data preparation, experimentation & uplift testing, commercial analytics

April 2023

GRE General Test - Quantitative Reasoning 165 (81st percentile)

Educational Testing Service (ETS)

Verbal 144 · Quantitative 165 · Analytical Writing 3.0

June 2023

National Tax Olympiad - Certificate of Participation

State Tax Service under the Ministry of Economy of the Republic of Azerbaijan

Held among students of higher education institutions

10 / Contact

Get in touch

For questions about statistics, data analysis, my research or published notes, write to me by email.

Location
Baku, Azerbaijan
Download Résumé ↓